Monday, January 25, 2010

Daily Recomendation

Hari ini yang perlu dicermati data penting dari zona Eropa, USA & JPY. Forecast utk Direct currency masih Bearish sebaliknya utk Indirect. Tetapi ada sedikit perbedaan di Jepang menyangkut data Overnight Call Rate/Interest Rate yang diprediksi tetap di angka 0.1%. Tentunya ini mempengaruhi nilai mata uang Yen sendiri. Rekomendasi utk beberapa currency sbb:

1. EUR/USD

Preference: SHORT, targets @ 1.4125 & 1.4065.


Comment: the RSI struck against a strong resistance area & the pair is capped by a declining trend line.

Trend: Downside; Range




2. USD/JPY

Preference: SHORT, targets 89.8 & 89.45 as next.

Comment: the break below 90.6 is a negative signal that has opened a path to 89.8.

Trend: Upside; Range




3. GBP/USD
Preference: SHORT, targets @ 1.6075 & 1.602.

Comment: the break below the 1.62 former support area is a negative signal. However, intraday indicators are mixed and calling for caution.

Trend: Downside;Range




4.USD/CHF

Preference: Long positions with targets @ 1.0435 & 1.0475 in extension.

Comment: the RSI has just landed on a support around 30% and is reversing up.







5. CO (Brent)
Preference: SHORT with 72.2 & 70.95 in sight.

Comment: the RSI is capped by a declining trend line.

Trend: downside; Bearish






6. XAU
Preference: SHORT positions with targets @ 1090 & 1083.

Comment: the RSI is capped by a strong resistance, calling for a new downleg.

Trend: downside; Bearish





Good Trading

Monday, January 18, 2010

Daily Recommendation










Hari ini outlook data ekonomi masih terfokus dari zona Inggris yang akan merilis data perumahan. Kondisi harga yang masih belum stabil di pasar perumahan masih mewarnai keadaan minat konsumen dan pelaku bisnis property ini. Keadaan ini mencerminkan minat pembeli masih tinggi dan merupakan hal yang positif untuk kondisi mikro ekonomi di segmentasi publik.
Rekomendasri Trading bisa dilihat secara visual pada gambar diatas. Teknik Korelasi Pair terhadap Major Currency masih belum bisa diterapkan mengingat kondisi fundamental beberapa negara besar seperti US, Canada, China, Eropa dan Inggris yang masih memikirkan kelanjutan stimulus ekonomi.

Good Luck.
afnoorse@yahoo.com
azhar@mifx.com

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Pound sekali lagi mengalami pelemahan dari USD. Komentar Fed tampaknya menyiratkan bahwa kebijakan mereka untuk nilai Dollar hanyalah salah satu dari pengalihan keadaan yang sebenarnya atas market.

Kemarin dilaporkan bahwa PDB Inggris hasil revisi adalah -0,3%, seperti yang diharapkan lebih baik sebesar -0,4% dari laporan sebelumnya. Laporan AS itu melibatkan data order barang tahan lama (durable goods) yang tidak sesuai dari yang diharapkan, dan awal angka pengangguran lebih rendah dari perkiraan. Sebuah survei ekonom oleh Bloomberg memperkirakan bahwa hanya ada 125.000 pekerjaan hilang selama November.

Rekomendasi posisi di GBP Sell. TP1 @ 1.6378, TP2 @ 1.6252. SL 1.6543

Aktifkan modus Trailling Stop 50 Pips saat running price di level 1.6330

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

-----------------------------------
Trade Tips for Tomorrow
-----------------------------------

Here are my predictions for the ranges and biases of
the four major Forex pairs:

* EUR/USD: Looking for prices to move between
1.4777 and 1.5137. The EUR/USD closed down
during today's session. This pair is moving sideways
and has a positive bias at this time.

* USD/JPY: Looking for prices to move between
91.70 and 92.50. The USD/JPY closed up
for today's session. This pair is moving higher
and has a positive bias at this time.

* GBP/USD: Looking for this pair to move between
1.6148 and 1.6487. The GBP/USD closed up for
today's session. This pair is moving sideways and
does not have a bias at this time.

* USD/CHF: Looking for this pair to move between
0.9991 and 1.0260. The USD/CHF closed up during
today's session. This pair is moving lower and
has a negative bias at this time.

Good trading,
afnoorse

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

-----------------------------------
Trade Tips for Tomorrow
-----------------------------------

Here are my predictions for the ranges and biases of
the four major Forex pairs:

* EUR/USD: Looking for prices to move between
1.4756 and 1.5040. The EUR/USD closed up
during today's session. This pair is moving higher
and has a positive bias at this time.

* USD/JPY: Looking for prices to move between
89.75 and 91.62. The USD/JPY closed down
for today's session. This pair is moving sideways
and does not have a bias at this time.

* GBP/USD: Looking for this pair to move between
1.6132 and 1.6517. The GBP/USD closed up for
today's session. This pair is moving sideways and
does not have a bias at this time.

* USD/CHF: Looking for this pair to move between
1.0053 and 1.0290. The USD/CHF closed down during
today's session. This pair is moving lower and
has a negative bias at this time.

Good Trading.
afnoorse